The world’s major immigrant-sending regions are expected to fare demographically in the next two decades has been a focus of the Migration Policy Institute’s Transatlantic Council on Migration, particularly with respect to the implications that demographic change could have for Europe and North America.
The Transatlantic Council commissioned research from distinguished academics and researchers around the world to inform its work, and we are now pleased to make those papers public.
They are:
The Demography of China and India: Effects on Migration to High-Income Countries
Michael J. White and Inku Subedi of Brown University map the two countries’ differing age structures and demographic trajectories through 2030, examining the working-age populations of China and India, particularly in the age group most likely to migrate. The paper is available at www.migrationpolicy.org/pubs/White-Paper.pdf.
Emerging Demographic Trends in Asia and the Pacific: Implications for International Migration
Graeme Hugo of the University of Adelaide explores how Asia’s exponential growth of recent decades will not be sustained in the medium to long term amid declining fertility rates – and how Asian destination countries increasingly will be competing with OECD countries for skilled migrants from Asia and the Pacific.
The paper is available at www.migrationpolicy.org/pubs/Hugo-Paper.pdf.
Demographic Trends in Mexico: The Implications for Skilled Migration
Elena Zúñiga of the Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas, Unidad de Estudios del Desarrollo and independent consultant Miguel Molina examine the growing flow of Mexican professionals heading to the United States – and how projections suggest the demand in Mexico for professionals could outstrip supply after 2025.
The paper is available at www.migrationpolicy.org/pubs/Zuniga-Paper.pdf.
Charting the Demographic Course across the Mediterranean
Philippe Fargues of the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies at the European University Institute in Florence examines the demographic future for the Middle East and North Africa through 2030 – and notes that the MENA region’s growing supply of young, educated workers is occurring against the backdrop of Europe’s aging population and below-replacement fertility.
The paper is available at www.migrationpolicy.org/pubs/Fargues-Paper.pdf.
Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa: The Most Demographically Extreme Regions
The paper by Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, and Samir K.C. of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Laxenburg, Austria examines the world’s two most demographically extreme regions: Sub-Saharan African and Eastern Europe, which are experiencing the fastest rate of growth and most rapid population decline respectively. The paper is available at: www.migrationpolicy.org/pubs/Lutz-Paper.pdf.
The demographic papers, also available at the Transatlantic Council website: www.migrationpolicy.org/transatlantic, comprise the first half of the latest Council volume, Talent, Competitiveness and Migration.
The book, published by the Bertelsmann Stiftung, maps how profound demographic change is likely to affect the size and character of global migration flows; and how governments can shape immigration policy in a world increasingly attuned to the hunt for talent. For more information on the book, please visit here.